Friday, May 2, 2008

Collins: Federer down but not out

getCSS("3315906")Collins: Federer down but not outCollins: Federer down but not outBud CollinsCollins: Federer down but not outShould we sing a dirge in the dirt of Monte Carlo for Roger Federer? Must we declare that his invincibility license has expired, and his days of collecting major championships are over?

I don’t think so, although the way Roger has started this campaign, like a guy trying to find a light switch in a dark room, hasn’t been reassuring to his faithful. Six tournaments played, one unremarkable title, a 20-5 match record -- very good for 99 per cent of his colleagues, but shaky for Federer.

But I don’t think we can label him Roger the Codger just yet as he attempts to hold onto his No. 1 merit badge for the fifth successive year. After all, he’ll be only 27-years-old on Aug. 8, and three majors -- French, Wimbledon, U.S. -- lie ahead.


The guy is in a slump. Happens to the best in every sport, and he’s probably asking himself some questions in the middle of the night. Like, “How could I blow a service break lead in the first set, and a 4-0 lead in the second?” in mulling over the 7-5, 7-5, Monte Carlo championship-lost decision to Rafa Nadal on clay.

Yes, how does a guy -- anointed by some as the greatest of all-time (too early for me to declare him that) -- explain that to himself as he heads, probably, to his first double-digits in the loss column since 2003.

He lost nine matches last year, 5, 4 and 6 in the three previous seasons.

We know the numbers, but what we don’t know is if he’s completely recovered from the mononucleosis bout that likely cost him the Australian title. He says he’s 100 percent -- but, as a proud, competitive man, he wouldn’t say anything else as long as he’s playing.

Federer may be momentarily discouraged, but he won’t stay that way. For one thing, he doesn’t have to face Nadal in an earthen rectangle every day. That’s heartening. Challenging Nadal on clay is like swimming upstream against a rocky rapids.

But Federer almost missed out on that recent opportunity when he was assailed in the opening round by somebody named Reuben Ramirez Hidalgo, was twice two points from defeat, but hung on from 1-5 in the third to win 6-1, 3-6, 7-6 (7-1) for goodness sake!

Still Federer ought to have three more shots at Nadal in the dirt: Hamburg, Rome, Paris -- if they both get to the finals. Nadal has the clay edge, 7-1.

However, I feel that shrewd Jose Higueras, Federer’s latest coach, was pleased even in defeat to Nadal in Monte Carlo because Federer was attacking more, seizing opportunities to chip-and-charge and scoring at the net. He needs to be venturesome, as he hasn’t been in past years. After all, he should give it a try. What's he got to lose?. Baselining against Nadal is as hopeful as beating a casino. Federer also has to revive his serve that customarily hit lines and corners. getCSS("3053751")Collins: Federer down but not outSlide show


Nadal through to Barcelona Open quarters